Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.342418 0.397430 0.455338 0.520549 0.591657 0.666573 0.751193
2025-01-05 0.260061 0.334533 0.417962 0.517199 0.630889 0.756006 0.903042
2025-01-12 0.202183 0.287759 0.389476 0.516558 0.668422 0.841614 1.051593
2025-01-19 0.164251 0.257618 0.374872 0.527850 0.717290 0.939699 1.216067
2025-01-26 0.137100 0.236095 0.366960 0.544398 0.770929 1.043371 1.388729
2025-02-02 0.115462 0.218038 0.360453 0.560481 0.822842 1.145003 1.560327
2025-02-09 0.092245 0.193405 0.341626 0.557662 0.848912 1.214007 1.692472
2025-02-16 0.076992 0.178034 0.333473 0.567426 0.890202 1.301747 1.848293
2025-02-23 0.061612 0.159316 0.317910 0.564853 0.913733 1.366226 1.975110
2025-03-02 0.045367 0.135227 0.290954 0.543187 0.909199 1.392936 2.053221
2025-03-09 0.037188 0.124495 0.283743 0.549399 0.942445 1.468925 2.194787
2025-03-16 0.028067 0.109208 0.266887 0.539283 0.951433 1.511960 2.293481
2025-03-23 0.024457 0.105726 0.270508 0.561664 1.008460 1.621862 2.483012
2025-03-30 0.018917 0.095659 0.260968 0.562228 1.033377 1.688344 2.616188
2025-04-06 0.014528 0.086897 0.252643 0.563906 1.059521 1.756575 2.752312
2025-04-13 0.011868 0.082168 0.251527 0.577247 1.103168 1.849488 2.922383
2025-04-20 0.009984 0.079169 0.253470 0.595605 1.154561 1.953687 3.108536
2025-04-27 0.008324 0.076186 0.255025 0.613142 1.204859 2.056850 3.294228
2025-05-04 0.005928 0.068589 0.245522 0.610421 1.223310 2.114813 3.418766
2025-05-11 0.004583 0.064630 0.243586 0.620943 1.262473 2.202599 3.584734
2025-05-18 0.003082 0.058184 0.234849 0.618302 1.280359 2.259718 3.708823
2025-05-25 0.001547 0.048396 0.216064 0.595343 1.264454 2.267086 3.763655
2025-06-01 0.001012 0.044968 0.212949 0.601972 1.296532 2.344678 3.916635